Aluvión vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
3 - 2
ALU
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 0
ALU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALU
2 - 2
CDT
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 0
ALU
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 3
ATL
17%
24%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 3
CDC
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDA
28%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
MEN
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |