Aluvión vs Cd Buñuel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 2
ALU
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 1
CDR
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
ALU
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALU
2 - 1
CFB
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 0
ALU
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cd Buñuel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDL
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 4
CDB
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 4
CDA
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CDA
4 - 0
CDB
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDO
52%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |