Aluvión vs CF Ardoi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
OBE
7 - 1
ALU
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALU
0 - 2
IZA
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 1
ALU
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 2
MEN
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALU
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CF Ardoi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
CDA
3 - 1
AOI
32%
26%
43%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDA
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CDA
1 - 3
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDA
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CDA
1 - 1
HUA
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |