Aluvión vs CD Ilumberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
ALU
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALU
1 - 3
JUA
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CDA
5 - 1
ALU
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 0
LOU
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABL
2 - 2
ALU
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CDI
0 - 0
CDO
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BID
2 - 0
CDI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CDI
2 - 3
CAV
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 0
CDI
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CDI
3 - 0
ZIR
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |