Aluvión vs CD Ilumberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AZK
0 - 0
ALU
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALU
1 - 2
ABL
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALU
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDB
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
CDA
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDI
6 - 0
PEN
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
3 - 0
CDI
39%
26%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDI
3 - 1
INF
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BET
1 - 0
CDI
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 1
CDI
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |