Aluvión vs CD Ilumberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AOI
1 - 0
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALU
2 - 2
IDO
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDT
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
ALU
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUA
0 - 1
ALU
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDI
1 - 0
JUA
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 2
CDI
72%
15%
12%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BUÑ
0 - 0
CDI
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDI
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDC
4 - 2
CDI
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |