Aluvión vs CD Buñuel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 2
CDA
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CDA
1 - 2
ALU
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDO
34%
25%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
0 - 1
ALU
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 0
ZAR
31%
26%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Buñuel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAV
4 - 1
BUÑ
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BUÑ
1 - 0
ZAR
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUÑ
4 - 1
INJ
63%
21%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 1
BUÑ
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BUÑ
0 - 1
CDO
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |