Aluvión vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
ALU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 1
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 5
ALU
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
AOI
2 - 2
CAV
42%
25%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LOU
5 - 1
AOI
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AOI
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
AOI
39%
28%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AOI
1 - 2
UDM
32%
27%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |