Aluvión vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ALU
2 - 2
UDM
36%
28%
35%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ALU
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 3
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALU
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 1
CDA
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
AOI
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AOI
0 - 2
PEÑ
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
AOI
38%
28%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AOI
1 - 0
HUA
35%
27%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
CDA
3 - 1
AOI
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |