Aluvión vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALU
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ALU
3 - 2
LOU
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
IZA
2 - 1
ALU
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 0
ALU
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ALU
0 - 1
OBE
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AOI
0 - 1
CDA
49%
24%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AZK
0 - 2
AOI
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
2 - 2
AOI
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
AOI
2 - 1
LOU
43%
27%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
IZA
2 - 1
AOI
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |