Aluvión vs AD San Juan B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
ALU
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 1
BUÑ
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ZIR
0 - 0
ALU
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDC
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
ALU
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD San Juan B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
JUA
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 0
AVA
35%
24%
40%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUÑ
1 - 2
JUA
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 0
ZIR
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
AZK
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |