Alumni Villa Maria vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 0
CAA
15%
20%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CAA
0 - 0
RCU
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALP
0 - 1
CAA
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 3
TIR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAA
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 2
ALP
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
4 - 1
SAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
RAC
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
SAR
76%
16%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ARG
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |