Alumni Villa Maria vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 1
ALI
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
HUR
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAA
24%
23%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
26%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAC
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 2
SAR
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
HUR
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
TIR
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |