Alumni Villa Maria vs Luján de Cuyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
4 - 0
CAA
80%
15%
6%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CAA
2 - 1
RAC
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
JUU
1 - 0
CAA
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
IRV
1 - 0
CAA
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CAA
2 - 1
SMA
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luján de Cuyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LCY
0 - 1
IRV
26%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 1
LCY
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LCY
0 - 0
SMA
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 1
LCY
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
LCY
1 - 1
DES
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |