Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 0-3
Alumni Villa Maria vs Atlético Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AFV
0 - 1
CAA
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CUA
0 - 3
CAA
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
2 - 1
SAR
46%
26%
29%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 1
CUA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CAA
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 3
ALP
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 1
CVO
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 1
ALP
12%
17%
70%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CVO
1 - 1
ALP
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 0
AUC
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |