Alumni Villa Maria vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
RAC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
CAA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 0
CAA
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DES
2 - 0
CAA
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
JUU
3 - 2
TAL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
JUU
0 - 0
DES
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 3
JUU
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 0
JUU
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JUU
2 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |