Alumni Villa Maria vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
HUR
5 - 2
CAA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 0
PAC
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EST
3 - 2
CAA
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SBF
2 - 3
CAA
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 1
ATE
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | -2 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
ATE
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 4
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
SBF
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
HUR
16%
22%
63%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -4 |