Alumni Villa Maria vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAA
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 3
CCS
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JAN
1 - 0
CAA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 0
SMA
25%
30%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GYT
2 - 0
CAA
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 0
GYT
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 1
GAF
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 0
TAL
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
GAF
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 2
SJO
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |