Alumni Villa Maria vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SRI
2 - 1
CAA
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
CAA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAA
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 2
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
SRI
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
FER
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
DCM
4 - 1
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |