Alumni Villa Maria vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAA
2 - 1
ARG
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
CAA
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
CAA
3 - 0
ATE
83%
12%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 0
CAA
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CAA
3 - 2
ALP
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
0 - 1
EST
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |