Alumni Villa Maria vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 0
SBF
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
0 - 0
CAA
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
CAA
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
HUR
5 - 2
CAA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
ATE
85%
10%
4%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
3 - 2
EST
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
HUR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 2
EST
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -2 |