Alumni Villa Maria vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
CIP
4 - 1
CAA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
CAA
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 1
CCS
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
GBR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HUR
5 - 3
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
JUU
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
EST
2 - 2
JUU
32%
27%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |