Alumni Villa Maria vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 2
CAA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
0 - 1
JUU
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
CAA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 2
RAC
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
CAA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
RAC
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
TAL
1 - 0
DES
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
DES
2 - 2
EST
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
JUU
1 - 1
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
DES
4 - 0
MAI
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |