Alumni Villa Maria vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TAL
2 - 1
CAA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
JUU
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
RAC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
CAA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
DES
1 - 1
RAC
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TAL
2 - 2
DES
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
DES
3 - 1
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
JUU
0 - 0
DES
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
MAI
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |