Alumni Villa Maria vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
3 - 0
GBR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
HUR
3 - 0
CAA
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
JUU
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 2
CAA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
HUR
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
JUU
0 - 2
DES
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DES
3 - 1
MAI
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
EST
5 - 2
DES
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |