Alumni Villa Maria vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 0
CAA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 1
JUU
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
JAN
1 - 1
CAA
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DES
1 - 1
TAL
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
EST
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 0
DES
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JUU
2 - 3
DES
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |