Aluminij vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
ALU
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ALU
3 - 1
GOR
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALU
1 - 1
KRS
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 1
NSM
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 4
RUD
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
DOM
6 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
KRS
1 - 3
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |