Aluminij vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
ALU
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 1
RUD
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 5
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALU
2 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ODR
0 - 2
TRI
17%
23%
59%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 3
OLI
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
TRI
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 1
GOR
21%
26%
54%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |