Aluminij vs Triglav Bakovci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
KRK
0 - 4
ALU
28%
25%
46%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ALU
2 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
DRA
2 - 1
ALU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ALU
3 - 3
DEK
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ZAG
2 - 1
ALU
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Triglav Bakovci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BEL
3 - 0
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 2
DEK
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LJU
7 - 0
TRI
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 2
NKD
28%
25%
46%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
IVA
4 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |