Aluminij vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
33
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
ALU
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
ROG
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
FCK
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
4 - 1
RAD
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RAD
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |