Aluminij vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
DRA
7 - 0
ALU
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ALU
3 - 2
DRA
71%
17%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
ALU
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ALU
4 - 2
NKS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ALU
6 - 0
TRI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
NKP
2 - 1
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
NKD
0 - 1
NKP
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NKP
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RUD
1 - 1
NKP
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
NKP
2 - 0
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |