Aluminij vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2001 |
NDR
1 - 5
ALU
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
DEK
2 - 0
ALU
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ALU
2 - 0
POH
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
BRD
1 - 2
ALU
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ALU
2 - 0
KRK
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2001 |
NKN
2 - 0
ZEL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 0
NKN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NKN
1 - 2
SLJ
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
IVA
1 - 0
NKN
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SMA
2 - 1
NKN
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |