Aluminij vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
ALU
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RUD
0 - 0
ALU
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALU
4 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALU
6 - 2
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GOR
0 - 1
ALU
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
NSM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
KAI
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRV
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
KAR
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |