Aluminij vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RUD
4 - 2
ALU
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 2
ALU
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALU
3 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DOM
6 - 1
ALU
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
ALU
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AHS
0 - 2
GOR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 2
ALU
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 1
RUD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -4 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 1
GOR
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
ALU
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |