Aluminij vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 3
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 0
ALU
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 0
ALU
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 3
RUD
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALU
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
NKN
1 - 3
GOR
11%
18%
72%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
GOR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GOR
3 - 1
DOM
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RUD
1 - 2
GOR
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |