Aluminij vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALU
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALU
5 - 0
SMA
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NKN
1 - 1
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 4
KRS
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SLJ
1 - 0
ALU
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DRA
2 - 1
IVA
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NKI
1 - 4
DRA
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
DRA
0 - 2
RUD
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
DRA
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
NKN
9 - 2
DRA
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |