Aluminij vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DEK
2 - 3
ALU
25%
25%
51%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ALU
3 - 0
ZAG
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LJU
0 - 0
ALU
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ALU
4 - 0
POH
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NKD
0 - 1
ALU
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DRA
1 - 0
ZAG
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
POH
0 - 4
DRA
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
DRA
1 - 0
TOL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
NKN
0 - 1
DRA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ZEL
1 - 2
DRA
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |