Aluminij vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
43
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
3 - 2
FCK
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 0
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 2
RAD
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 0
RAD
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 2
DOM
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 1
DOM
19%
21%
59%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
DOM
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |