Aluminij vs Brda Dobrovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
KRK
2 - 1
ALU
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ALU
1 - 1
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
ALU
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ALU
1 - 1
ZAG
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SMA
1 - 2
ALU
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Brda Dobrovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
BRD
2 - 0
ZEL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
TOL
1 - 0
BRD
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
BRD
0 - 4
SLJ
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
IVA
3 - 0
BRD
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
NKN
3 - 1
BRD
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |