Aluminij U19 vs NS Mura U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
4º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
ALU
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 2
ILI
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 2
KRK
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
RAD
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
2 - 2
MUR
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 1
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
4 - 1
BRA
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |