Aluminij U19 vs Ilirija 1911 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
4º
56
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 2
KRK
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 1
GOR
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 0
ALU
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALU
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
3 - 1
RAD
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 2
ILI
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
0 - 1
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
ILI
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |