Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 0
BFT
65%
19%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
3 - 1
ALT
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
AGA
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 0
KAS
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
KAS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
AGA
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |