Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
ALT
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 2
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 6
ALT
8%
17%
76%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
KAS
76%
15%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 4
ALT
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
BFT
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 2
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 2
ARK
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 0
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |