Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 6
ALT
8%
17%
76%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
KAS
76%
15%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 4
ALT
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
AHA
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 5
ALT
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 2
ARK
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 0
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
AGA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |