Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 0
AGA
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
EFT
1 - 2
ALT
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
ALT
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
RAV
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
EFT
1 - 0
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARK
6 - 0
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
ALT
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
4 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
FKA
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |