Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
ALT
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 0
FRB
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 0
AKP
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
AGA
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
KAS
0 - 2
ALT
16%
22%
61%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EFT
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
4 - 1
MER
86%
11%
4%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |