Altyn Asyr vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 3
ALT
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 7
ALT
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
AGA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
KAS
1 - 2
ALT
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
KAS
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
EFT
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 2
MER
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
BFT
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |