Altrincham vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
KET
0 - 1
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ALT
4 - 0
LAN
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NUN
0 - 0
ALT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
ALT
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
RFC
0 - 1
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 2
HIN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
VAU
1 - 2
RUN
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
0 - 1
WOR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
RUN
58%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 0
ALF
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |