Altrincham vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 3
ALT
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
5 - 2
ALT
59%
20%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
8 - 0
HIN
78%
14%
9%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 3
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 1
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
TOW
46%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 5
GAI
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
GAI
25%
23%
53%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |