Altrincham vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NUN
2 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 1
GAT
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALT
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
BRO
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 2
LIN
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 1
AFC
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 0
DAR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 0
GUL
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KID
1 - 0
DAR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
WOK
1 - 1
DAR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |